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Head‑to‑head rule brings early winners and losers while third-place lifeline keeps groups alive

World Cup

Mexico's Luis Romo scores their first goal during the World Cup Group A match against South Korea on June 18, 2026 at Estadio Guadalajara in Guadalajara, Mexico.

Photo credit: Reuters

The new head-to-head World Cup tiebreak rule has already produced group winners and early exits, while the scramble for one of the eight best third-placed spots means plenty still hinges on the final round of group games beginning on Wednesday.

When goal difference was the first deciding factor in separating sides level on points, a three-point deficit could still be clawed back in the last group game.