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Caption for the landscape image:

A brooding lake of disaffection

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President William Ruto speaks during the opening of the 19th Ambassadors Conference at Safari Park Hotel in Nairobi on March 28, 2026. 

Photo credit: Bonface Bogita | Nation

Appearing on a popular radio show a month ago, rights activist Cyprian Nyamwamu provided a fairly stark prognosis for the Kenya Kwanza government and its leader, President William Ruto come the election in 2027. Heck, he doesn’t even believe that the election is riggable. Referring to research, he said 74 per cent of Kenyans believed the country is going in the wrong direction and that 64 per cent believe it is the president’s fault.

President Ruto is one of the most active and politically experienced leaders around, he has made promises about transforming the lives of the people, especially the youth, he has grand visions and is implementing grand projects, he is eloquent and persuasive and is communicating all the time. So why is he 64 per cent under water in the opinion polls, a rather deep electoral hole out of which to climb – even in a country where dark powerful forces, such as the inherent greed and dishonesty of the Kenyan political and technocratic elite and primitive ethnicity, have an inordinately outsize influence on voting outcomes?