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Raila Odinga
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Academic journey of a governor’s tenure

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Governors during the Biennial Devolution Conference at Eldoret Sports Club in Uasin Gishu County on August 17, 2023.

Photo credit: Jared Nyataya I Nation Media Group

Being a governor, I have learned, is a lot like pursuing a PhD. The moment you think you’ve mastered a chapter, reality clears its throat, slides a new assignment across your desk, and waits. This is my final reflection on that journey, as requested by Prof Kivutha Kibwana.

There is surprisingly little mystery to winning a gubernatorial seat. Political scientists have long shown that the fundamentals of such races, whether for president or governor, are cast long before the first poster is printed or the first slogan shouted from a pickup. Prof Allan Lichtman’s “13 Keys to the White House” insists that by the midpoint of a term, the structural forces — economy, stability, scandals, party unity — have largely locked the outcome.